Memphis Tigers vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Tulsa's one-dimensional offense has been slumping. They've averaged 23.8 points over the last six contests after a 27-13 loss to Tulane last week at home with 257 total yards. Freshman QB Braylon Braxton (5 TDs, 2 INTs) has been the starter while QB Davis Brin is battling a sore shoulder. Braxton is completing 50.7% of his passes. Tulsa is 16-6 UNDER the total after allowing 300+ rushing yards, plus 16-5 UNDER after allowing less than 170 yards passing in the last game. Memphis doesn't have much offensive balance, either, averaging 3.7 yards per rush with sophomore QB Seth Henigan (16 TDs, 7 INTs) carrying the load. They're the third-worst rushing team in the AAC and second-worst in yards per rush. Take Tulsa/Memphis UNDER the total.

Memphis looks to bounce back from two tough losses against Texas-San Antonio and Temple after winning its first three games of the season. The Tigers are an unexpected underdog versus Tulsa, which is 1-4 and comes off a 45-10 blowout loss to Houston. Tulsa has lost six of its last seven games dating to last season, and Memphis won the last meeting, 42-41, in 2019. Seth Hanigan finished 24 of 40 for 305 yards and 3 touchdowns with no interceptions for Memphis against the Owls, and Calvin Austin III caught 8 passes for 104 yards. Tulsa is averaging only 22.2 points, which ranks #104 in the country, and Memphis allows 32.2 per game. The Golden Hurricane is 3-11 ATS their past 14 games as home favorites and 1-4 ATS their last five after allowing at least 40 points the previous game. Memphis has gone UNDER seven of its last nine games, and Tulsa is 15-7-1 UNDER versus teams with winning records. Back Memphis ATS for a Max Play and also take the UNDER.

Tulsa heads out on the road where the offense has struggled, scoring 64 points in four games (16 points per game). The Golden Hurricane is on a 7-1 run UNDER the total, including 7-0 UNDER away from home. At least the defense has improved, allowing 19, 24, 23 and 25 points the last four contests. Tulsa is also on a 9-2 run UNDER the total in conference play, as well as 23-8-1 UNDER after allowing fewer than 20 points in their previous game. They face a Memphis offense that is all about running the football, which chews up yards and the clock, ranked sixth in the nation in rushing. Memphis has gone UNDER the total in four of its last five conference tilts and plays its best defense at home. At 5-4, expect a strong finish from the Memphis defense with a good shot at a Bowl game, a defense that held Tulsa to 14 points in last year's meeting. Back the UNDER.