Maryland Terrapins vs North Carolina Tar Heels Point Spread Picks

Coach Randy Edsel and his Maryland Terps have had a trying and disappointing season. They went through four QB's, and had to use a 5th - a converted linebacker - to run the offense. The offense struggled to begin with but with the injuries it became over-matched every week. The Terps have produced 18 points or less over the last five games. The defense at one time was stout and yielded very little, but without an offense to carry their fair share the defense has spent too much time on the field and is breaking down. The defense has allowed 40 ppg over the last three after going the entire season prior to the last three, allowing 27 or less. North Carolina has an offense that generates nearly 500 yards per game, and a broken Maryland defense isn't going to have success here. The offense just can't generate much of anything. The Terps are now 0-8 ATS after allowing 200+ on the ground and 2-13 ATS under Edsel following a loss. The Heels get it done at home as they are now 7-1 ATS in their last eight here. All Heels here.

North Carolina simply has no offense. They appear to be more than they really are. Backers will point to their win vs. Miami and apparent competitive game vs. SC. But, we see them for what they are - a very bad team. They caught Miami sleeping and went up 27-0. But they had to hang on for dear life to get the win. SC was cruising 21-3 on the road at the half, played a scoreless 3rd quarter, and NC made a game out of it after the outcome was determined. How bad is this team offensively? Outside of the Miami game, they have not found the endzone in their other four games until the 4th quarter when the games were decided. T.J. Yates has more INTs than TD passes this year. Maryland has had a very difficult six week schedule. They have had to face West Virginia, Wake Forest, Rutgers, Georgia Tech, Virginia and Clemson. They are 1 point away from spliting those six games. Maryland will use it's huge OL to pound NC between the tackles and it shouldn't take many points to put this one away. North Carolina is just 18-33 ATS as a home favorite over the past decade. One team here is going to a Bowl game, and the other is not. Wrong team favored.