Oklahoma had lost four of five before a totally unexpected 24-3 rout of Alabama on Saturday while likely knocking the Crimson Tide out of playoff contention. Jackson Arnold ran for 131 yards and Xavier Robinson added 101 yards rushing with two TDs. Now the Sooners go on the road where they have lost their past two, including 27-16 at Florida the previous week. LSU got back on track and ended a three-game skid with a 24-17 victory over Vanderbilt outgaining the Commodores 471-308. LSU QB Garrett Nussmeier threw for 332 yards and a TD with no picks. The Tigers have gone UNDER five home games in a row and they are 7-1 UNDER their past eight games overall. LSU is 5-0 UNDER following an ATS loss and 5-0 UNDER after totaling more than 280 yards passing its previous game. Oklahoma is 2-4 ATS its past six road games and the Sooners are in letdown mode after the huge win over the Crimson Tide while becoming bowl-eligible. Take LSU and the UNDER.
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on LSU Tigers on the -6 ATS. And, 64% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that LSU would win by a score of 26.5 to 21.4 with LSU winning on the moneyline, Oklahoma winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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Oklahoma at LSU
Final Score
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 53% of the public bets were on LSU Tigers on the -12 ATS. 83% of the public money was on LSU Tigers to win on the moneyline. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that LSU would win by a score of 42.7 to 35.1 with LSU winning on the moneyline, Oklahoma winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
Oklahoma vs. LSU
PEACH BOWL - A pair of powerhouse offenses with ace quarterbacks clash for this one. Oklahoma has an offensive wizard in coach Lincoln Riley, ranked second in the nation in total yards (554 pg), sixth in points (43.2 pg) behind QB Jalen Hurts (32 TDs, 7 INTs). They have excellent balance, rushing for 251 yards per game, with RB Kennedy Brooks (976 yards, 6.7 ypc) and QB Hurts (1,255 rushing yards). The Sooners are 15-6-1 OVER the total on natural grass, 35-17 OVER when following a spread loss, plus 39-22 OVER versus teams that average 8.5+ passing yards per attempt. It's the defense that has made huge strides from last year, leading the Big-12 allowing 330.6 total yards per game - 123 fewer yards per contest than in 2018. Oklahoma is 7-2 ATS as an underdog and has covered five of the last six when facing the mighty SEC. LSU packs plenty of offensive firepower as well, behind QB Joe Burrow (48 TDs, 6 INTs), tops in the nation in total yards (554 pg), third in points (47.8 pg). Neutral-field underdogs like Oklahoma that outrush their opponents by 100+ yards per game are 37-13 ATS, so back the big dog in a high-scoring, close thriller. Play Oklahoma and the OVER.