Louisville Cardinals vs SMU Mustangs

The Louisville Cardinals lost for the first time last week against Notre Dame 31-24. Louisville is now 3-1 on the season, but they have played well under the line in their four games. SMU meanwhile is off a 42-16 dismanting of Florida St. SMU has been one of the better road teams in NCAAF as the Mustangs are 6-0 in their last six on the road. SMU has also delivered a 66-24 win over TCU on the season. The Mustangs can score as they have proven all season, and they have also forced seven turnovers in their last two games. Many are going to be betting on a Louisville bounceback this week at home, but history is not part of that thinking. A team that opened their season at 3-0 and lost in game 4 failed to cover 55% of the time, and that data set has over 300 games played in it. SMU's dynamic offense and ability to turn their opponents over, gives them a good look as a dog in this contest. Make the play on SMU.