LSU Tigers vs Louisville Cardinals Point Spread Picks

CITRUS BOWL - LSU got a spark in mid-season with a coaching change, but finished 2-2 SU/ATS. That included a loss to Florida at home as a two-TD favorite, 16-10. The QB position has been below average all year with three players combining for 10 TDs and six picks. LSU has been a bust in Bowls the last five years (1-4 ATS), losing to Clemson and Notre Dame as favorites of -5.5 and -8.5. The Tigers are also 5-12 ATS after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. They face an electric Louisville offense behind QB Lamar Jackson (30 TDs, nine INTs), the Heisman Trophy winner, who ran for 1,538 yards. He is the only player in FBS history to throw for 30-plus touchdowns and rush for 20-plus TDs in the regular season. Louisville hasn't been an underdog all season until now and went 3-1 ATS last year under Bobby Petrino as a dog. The Cardinals are also 16-7 ATS following a straight-up loss and topped an SEC team in last year's Bowl (Texas A&M), 27-21. Take Louisville.