Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs New Mexico State Aggies Point Spread Picks

New Mexico State is 2-0, and that is one less than the number of its total wins last season. The Aggies beat Tulsa 21-14 as a 3.5-point underdog last week, even with only 39 yards rushing. They leaned on QB Logan Fife, who was 28 of 45 for 252 yards and two TDs with no interceptions. New Mexico State has won and covered the past two meetings, including 33-30 in double overtime in 2024. Louisiana Tech has lost six of seven September games dating to last season. The Bulldogs kept it closer than expected, losing 23-7 to LSU as a 36.5-point underdog. However, they were outgained 365-154 and managed only 2.1 yards per carry and 96 total passing yards. Louisiana Tech is 0-8 ATS in its past eight games as a favorite against opponents with at least a .650 winning percentage. The Bulldogs lost three starters from last season's offensive line, and QB Trey Kukuk threw for only 50 yards with no TDs against LSU. Take New Mexico State.

New Mexico State has gone UNDER five of its past six games, including its 28-7 win over UTEP, which went UNDER by 13.5 points and the Aggies are #43 in the country allowing 21.1 points per game. New Mexico State has stayed UNDER five straight road games and the Aggies have allowed more than 21 points just twice in 11 games dating to last season. Louisiana Tech is 4-3-1 UNDER in 2023 and it has averaged 22.2 points its past four games. The Bulldogs come off a 31-23 loss to Middle Tennessee and it pushed with a total of 54 and they rushed for only 79 yards. Louisiana Tech has improved defensively by 10 points compared to 2022 when it gave up 38 points per game compared to 28 this year. New Mexico State uses a lot of clock rushing 33 times per game for 202.4 yards. Play the UNDER.

There might not be a more exciting offense to watch in college football than the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs. Last week they were a choice at -30 at home, and they had that covered before halftime. They can easily duplicate the 70 points they scored vs. a very soft New Mexico State defense here. QB Colby Cameron should be getting Heisman notice as he has been perfect with 2,297 passing yards and 20 TD's. He has yet to throw a pick, while putting the ball in the air 274 times. New Mexico States no stranger to big point spreads, but they are strangers to beating them. They lost last week at +30 and are now 2-7 ATS in their last nine when taking 30 or more. They are also just 0-5 ATS in their last five when taking 20 or more. Louisiana Tech scored 56 in 27 minutes last week and could very well duplicate that here. The Bulldogs are a perfect 8-0 ATS since last season when facing a losing team. Take them here.