Liberty has a winning record on the season behind a strong offense. QB Stephen Calvert (23 TDs, three picks) leads a balanced attack with a pair of running backs who average over 5.3 yards per carry. The defense, though, has been terrible, allowing 44, 44, 21 and 31 points the last four contests. One of those 44-point games was to Rutgers, a team that has struggled to score all season.They step up again to face Virginia of the ACC. Virginia is 5-0 at home where they've scored 52, 31, 28, 48 and 33 points. The Cavaliers are 8-3 to the OVER the total after a spread loss and the defense is hurting. They lost Darrius Bratton before the season, lost All-American Bryce Hall in a loss at Miami, and the secondary just took a further hit with the loss of Brenton Nelson. In the last two games, both Virginia wins, they allowed 539 yards to North Carolina and 413 yards to Georgia Tech. Virginia is 8-3 OVER the total in non-conference games and this shapes up as a shootout. Play this one to go OVER.
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 67% of the public bets were on Virginia Cavaliers on the -16 ATS. 97% of the public money was on Virginia Cavaliers to win on the moneyline. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Virginia would win by a score of 36.6 to 21.1 with Virginia winning on the moneyline, Liberty University winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on Virginia Cavaliers on the -24 ATS. 52% of the public money was on Liberty University Flames to win on the moneyline. And, 62% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Virginia would win by a score of 40.8 to 17.6 with Virginia winning on the moneyline, Liberty University winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
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