Iowa State Cyclones vs Toledo Rockets Point Spread Picks

Iowa State owns just one win on the season, and that 3-point win over Iowa looked a lot bigger at the time, but Iowa has not performed as anticipated. The Cyclones lost to a good FCS team in North Dakota State, but you can't lose at home by 20 to a FCS team and expect to compete on this level. So far they haven't been able to. Toledo comes into this game at 4-2, losing to Cincinnati and Missouri, which is certainly nothing to be ashamed of. The Rockets have a balanced and explosive offense with QB Logan Woodside, and RB Kareem Hunt who is generating 8.9 yards per carry. There lies the problem for the Cyclones who have given up 207 yards per game on the ground at 4.75 yards per carry. The Cyclones have not had much success vs. winning teams where they own a 3-8-2 ATS mark in their last 13 against them. This is a tough matchup for Iowa State, and with Texas and Oklahoma up next, they may be out of focus as well. Make your play on Toledo.

Toledo has started the season 0-3 SU and 0-3 ATS while Iowa State is coming off a huge upset win over Iowa. Perfect time to go contrarian here and back what most consider to be a bad Toledo team. Iowa State, prior to the fluke win over Iowa, was 0-2 having lost to Kent State and N. Iowa. They were favored vs. Kent and the N. Iowa game wasn't even lined. Don't overreact to one week. The fact remains that Iowa State brought back just four starters on offense and are lead by a new head coach. This is the first road game for this young offense and new coach and the hostile environment of the Glass Bowl will be a big change from the last three games - all at home. ISU is just 4-21 ATS in their last 25 artificial turf games. Toledo is 30-5 straight-up under head coach Tom Amstutz here at home. Take Toledo plus the points!