Iowa appears to have the all-important motivational edge as Vanderbilt missed out on the College Football Playoff and its star quarterback, Diego Pavia, finished second in the Heisman Trophy race. The Commodores had to settle for the Reliaquest Bowl while the Hawkeyes are on a roll, winning five of seven, and the two losses were to Oregon and USC. The Hawkeyes ended the regular season with a 40-16 rout of Nebraska, totaling 379 yards of offense, including 213 on the ground. Kirk Ferentz has a good offense to go along with his always great defenses, as Iowa averages 28.9 points per game. That is quite a difference from a three-year run of scoring 18.6 points per game from 2021 to 2023. The Hawkeyes are #6 in the country, allowing 15.2 points per game, and Pavia could meet his match as the Hawkeyes have yielded just seven TD passes this season. Vanderbilt tight end Eli Stowers has opted out, and he totaled 769 receiving yards this year. I'm calling the upset. Take Iowa on the moneyline.
Previous Matchups & Picks
December 31, 2025 12:00pm ET
vs.
Iowa Hawkeyes
#249
Vanderbilt Commodores
#250
Lines & Odds
+3 (-105)
ATS
-3 (-115)
+147
Moneyline
-173
OVER 46.5 (-115)
Total
UNDER 46.5 (-105)
Hawkeyes vs. Commodores Spread Picks
Get this week's Hawkeyes vs. Commodores point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Hawkeyes vs. Commodores.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 54% of the public bets were on Vanderbilt Commodores on the -3 ATS. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Vanderbilt would win by a score of 25.3 to 23.3 with Vanderbilt winning on the moneyline, Iowa winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
This Pro Pick was released to clients on December 29, 2025 at 12:33PM ET.
Iowa vs. Vanderbilt
December 31, 2025
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Iowa Hawkeyes
7
7
10
10
34
Vanderbilt Commodores
0
3
14
10
27
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