Iowa Hawkeyes vs Purdue Boilermakers Point Spread Picks

Purdue allows 29.6 points per game and Iowa gives up 16.8 and the Boilermakers score 28.0 compared to 22.2 for the Hawkeyes. Purdue is 5-2 OVER its past seven games, including its last two against Wisconsin and Illinois. The Boilermakers lost 38-17 to the Badgers and then bounced back with a 44-19 blowout of Illinois. Hudson Card completed 18 of 26 for 217 yards and two TDs with no interceptions for Purdue, which totaled 406 total offense yards, including 189 on the ground against the Fighting Illini, who racked up 375 total yards themselves and the game soared OVER by 9.5 points. Iowa also went OVER while defeating Michigan State 26-16, but it was the Spartans that outgained the Hawkeyes 349-222. Iowa has gone OVER four straight versus teams with losing records and the OVER is 4-0 in Purdue's past four games after they scored at least 40 points their previous game. Also, the OVER is 8-1 when Iowa is a home favorite of 0.5-3.0 points. Take the OVER - Max Play. 

Iowa will take on Purdue on the road this week. The Hawkeyes have one of the best defenses in the country but are just 4-4. The reason they have not been able to win more is as good as the defense is the offense is equally bad. Iowa is allowing just 15.8 PPG on the season, but the offense is averaging just 16.4 PPG. Purdue is 5-3 and will challenge the Hawkeye's defense as the Boilermakers are averaging 32.8 PPG. Purdue is averaging 16 more plays per game than their opponents, and with limited opportunities, it is going to be tough for Iowa to score enough to stay close in this one. Iowa is averaging nine fewer plays per game than their opponents so the edge is large here for Purdue, especially at home. Make the play on Purdue.

Unbeaten Iowa is getting all the headlines after defeating three ranked opponents, but this Purdue team is very good and is a tough matchup. Iowa is not a great offensive team, preferring to ground and pound. They scored 24 on Colorado State, 27 on Iowa State, and 23 on Penn State last week. The Hawkeyes ground game is averaging just 3.2 yards per rush. Iowa is 3-11 ATS as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points, plus 21-34 ATS as chalk of 10.5 to 21 points. Purdue has a solid defense of its own, surrendering 15.4 points per game. Purdue is 15-6 ATS as an underdog, 18-6-2 ATS as a road dog, and 14-5-2 ATS on the road versus a team with a winning home record. Purdue has won three of the last four meetings with Iowa, including 24-20 last year, and the road team is 9-2 ATS when these rivals clash. Play Purdue.

Purdue has topped 30 points in four of its six games, including a 42-24 rout of Vanderbilt and last week's 40-14 blowout over Maryland. Freshman QB Jack Plummer leads a passing attack that is #10 in the nation with 324.5 yards per game. The Boilermakers are on a 15-7 ATS run on the road, 11-3 ATS on field-turf, and 12-4-2 ATS on the road against a team with a winning home record. They face an Iowa squad that looks for balance on offense, #51 in yards per game averaging 24.9 points per contest. Yet, Iowa is a big favorite and the Hawkeyes have failed to cover six of their last eight Big 10 games. The road team is 8-1 ATS when these rivals clash. Purdue has covered four straight meetings and has the passing attack to keep this close. Play Purdue.