I had the UNDER in UNLV's opener last week, and it cashed in a 27-21 final that Memphis actually came away with, a result that says this UNLV roster is still finding itself even with a talented group returning under Dan Mullen. Tonight brings a different kind of test: a true road trip across the Pacific to face a Hawaii team that closed last season with a Sheraton Hawai'i Bowl win over California. That flight and the time change have a real history of taking some juice out of a visiting offense in Week 1, and UNLV averaged 34 points a game a year ago, well above what either defense in this matchup profiles to allow with any consistency. Hawaii's defense held up reasonably well under Timmy Chang, giving up just over 24 points a game, and UNLV's own defense wasn't far off at 28, which points toward a game that stays competitive rather than turning into the kind of shootout the raw scoring numbers from a year ago would suggest. UNLV still projects as the more talented roster on both sides of the ball, the kind of gap that shows up in a workable margin even in a tighter, more grounded game than either offense played much of last season. Between two defenses capable of forcing some stops and a long road trip working against UNLV's usual scoring pace, this total has more reasons to stay UNDER than to climb, and I like UNLV to grind out the margin it needs even if the pace slows down. Take UNLV to cover, and bet the UNDER.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Rebels vs. Rainbow Warriors Spread Picks
Get this week's Rebels vs. Rainbow Warriors point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Rebels vs. Rainbow Warriors.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 71% of the public bets were on UNLV Rebels on the -2 ATS. 87% of the public money was on UNLV Rebels to win on the moneyline. And, 95% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that UNLV would win by a score of 29.9 to 28.1 with UNLV winning on the moneyline, Hawaii winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
UNLV at Hawaii
Final Score
CFB Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 66% of the public bets were on UNLV Rebels on the -2.5 ATS. And, 61% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that UNLV would win by a score of 33.7 to 28.8 with UNLV winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 65% of the public bets were on UNLV Rebels on the -12.5 ATS. And, 64% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that UNLV would win by a score of 33.5 to 19.6 with UNLV winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
UNLV at Hawaii
The UNLV offense is averaging 36.7 points per game as QB Hajj-Malik Williams (12 TDs, 3 INTs) leads the team in rushing with 495 yards, 6.2 yards per carry. Their only two losses were in OT to Syracuse (44-41) and to No. 17 Boise State (29-24). They knocked off Kansas (23-20) as a +9 dog and Houston (27-7) as an underdog. UNLV comes off a bye week while Hawaii played last week, a surprising 21-20 win at Fresno State. Hawaii doesn't run the football well (3.7 yards per carry) asking QB Brayden Schager (16 TDs, 9 INTs) to carry the load. He's been sacked 30 times in nine games. The offense is 121st in points (17.4 per game) and 110th in total yards, while the defense is 100th on third down (43.62%). Play UNLV.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 71% of the public bets were on UNLV Rebels on the -10.5 ATS. And, 53% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that UNLV would win by a score of 34.0 to 24.6 with UNLV winning on the moneyline, Hawaii winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 61% of the public bets were on Hawaii Rainbow Warriors on the +11 ATS. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that UNLV would win by a score of 33.8 to 23.4 with UNLV winning on the moneyline, Hawaii winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
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