Most don't know that prior to 1979, North Texas was a division-1 program. But, then athletic director Hayden Fry left the athletic program with so much debt, they were demoted to div-1AA. It wasn't until 1995 when a bunch of donors bought big blocks of seats, that allowed them to rejoin the division-1 ranks, now known as the FBS. The program joined the Sun Belt Conference, and proceeded to win four straight titles. Darrell Dickey was the coach then, but following a 5-18 run over two years he was fired in 2006. It may now be a regretful decision, as the Mean Green have since gone 17-55 winning just 27% of their games. How do we take advantage? Since the wins are so elusive then the first place to look is what happens to this team after a win. Do they gain confidence? Or are they so thrilled, that they suffer a letdown in their next game? The answer: Following their last 23 wins, North Texas has gone 0-23 straight up and 4-19 ATS. Despite the average line in these games being +9.1, the Mean Green have been out-scored 835-396 or by 19.1 points per game. So, on average they are not just failing to cover, they are doing so by a whooping 10 ppg. While they have allowed better than 36 ppg, they have only reached that total once themselves (37). This Saturday they will try to break free from the streak, but playing between the hedges in Georgia will make that very tough. This will be their first trip into SEC territory with the streak active, so those Bulldogs may be ready to run them off the field. Under Mark Richt, the Dogs are 36-25 ATS off a home win. Georgia big.
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Mean Green vs. Bulldogs Spread Picks
Get this week's Mean Green vs. Bulldogs point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Mean Green vs. Bulldogs.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on Georgia Bulldogs on the -34 ATS. 53% of the public money was on Georgia Bulldogs to win on the moneyline. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Georgia would win by a score of 45.8 to 20.2 with Georgia winning on the moneyline, North Texas winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
North Texas at Georgia
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