I think this game is a mismatch of opinions and views of these teams. Texas Tech has mostly been a middle-of-the-road Big-12 team. Texas Tech manhandled a pretty decent Houston team as an underdog. Florida International played competitive vs Texas State. as a 2-point home favorite but lost. This game opened at -21.5 but has been bought down by FIU backers, or more like Texas Tech doubters, to -20 at the time of this writing. Tech didn't show up last week as a 31.5-point favorite vs SF Austin where they were outplayed and survived due to Austin turning the ball over four times. I'm sure that serves as a wake-up call for the Red Raiders and they won't sleepwalk through this one. Lost in that game is the fact that Texas Tech averaged 7.3 yards per play to Austin's 4.3. Make the play on Texas Tech.
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 68% of the public bets were on Texas Tech Red Raiders on the -20.5 ATS. And, 65% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Texas Tech would win by a score of 39.3 to 16.9 with Texas Tech winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
Florida International at Texas Tech
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