Florida Intl Golden Panthers vs New Mexico State Aggies Point Spread Picks

I had the OVER in New Mexico State's game against Mercyhurst a month ago, and it cashed in a 51-14 final. Each of New Mexico State's five games this season has reached at least 47 combined points: 51 at Florida State, 65 against Mercyhurst, 48 at Hawaii, 60 against New Mexico and 47 against Western Kentucky. At 2-3, New Mexico State has scored at least 17 in every game, including 34 against Western Kentucky last Thursday. Its offense averages 402 yards a game, and its defense has allowed 26.4 points a game this season. Florida International is 2-2, and its defense has held all four opponents to 20 or fewer, and Long Island University to 3. Its offense gains 418 yards a game and averages 18 points, with eight giveaways in four games. It scored 33 against Buffalo and 20 against Long Island University in its two wins. The OVER is the play tonight.

Two of the worst offensive teams in the nation square off in this Conference USA tilt. New Mexico State is ranked 126th in the country (out of 134 teams) offensively in total yards, with three quarterbacks combining for six TDs and seven interceptions. They've also combined for 43.3% completions. Florida International is even worse, ranked 130th offensively in total yards. Four quarterbacks have combined for 12 TDs and 10 interceptions and they get no help from a ground game that averages 3.3 yards per rush. Their last two home games have sailed far UNDER the total in scores of 17-10 and 10-7. Take New Mexico State/Florida International UNDER the total.