Florida Gators vs Georgia Bulldogs Point Spread Picks

This game will be played at EverBank Stadium - Jacksonville, FL. Georgia just seems to keep replacing talent with talent. The Bulldogs are 6-1 on the season and ranked #5 in the country. Florida has lost its way in the ACC. The Gators enter this game at 2-4, but their defense has kept them in games, as they have allowed just 23 ppg. Florida has played a very tough schedule, with games against LSU, USF, Miami (FL), Texas, and Texas A&M. The key for Florida in this game will be turnovers; they have turned the ball over twice in each of their last three games. If they can hang onto the ball, this game could turn out a lot closer than it looks. Make the play on Florida.

Florida hasn't been able to step up, losing 23-17 to No. 8 Tennessee and 41-17 to No. 5 Miami. QB Graham Mertz was lost for the season so freshman QB D.J. Lagway (5 TDs, 5 INTs) has been forced in. Georgia has no such concerns with senior QB Carson Beck (15 TDs, 8 INTs). The Bulldogs have been tested against Top 20 competition three times, losing a close one to Alabama while thrashing Clemson (34-3) and in the last game against No. 1 Texas, a 30-15 victory. The defense held a talented Texas offense to 259 total yards while forcing four turnovers. Georgia's defense is 30th in the nation in total yards allowed, 17th in points given up (19.2 per game), and 10th on third down (30%). Georgia is on an 8-3 run UNDER the total and beat Florida a year ago, 43-20, with 486 total yards. Play Georgia + UNDER the total. 

Georgia has won 24 games in a row, and own a 7-0 record this season, and the Bulldogs have won the past two meetings with Florida by an average of 24.5 points. Georgia QB Carson Beck has thrown for 2,147 yards and 12 TDs with only four interceptions this season and in his latest outing against Vanderbilt he completed 29 of 39 for 261 yards. The Bulldogs will be without tight end Brock Bowers (ankle), but they average 509.3 yards and 40.1 points. Florida totals 421.7 yards per game and 29.1 points. Florida QB Graham Mertz threw for 423 yards and three TDs against the Gamecocks. However, the Georgia pass defense is #9 in the country allowing 171.1 yards per game. Both teams are coming off a bye. Georgia is 18-0 ATS off a double-digit win against an SEC team that is coming off a straight-up underdog win. Florida is 4-6 ATS its past 10 games. Take Georgia.

Florida is erratic behind sophomore QB Anthony Richardson (6 TDs, 7 INTs) - and overvalued, failing to cover four of six. They were favored over LSU in their last game and lost 45-35. Florida is on a 7-18-1 spread run, 3-10 ATS on natural grass, and 3-9 ATS at neutral sites. They don't match up well with powerhouse Georgia, a talented team in midseason form after routing Auburn (42-10) and Vanderbilt (55-0). The Bulldogs are eighth in the country in scoring offense (41.7 pg) behind QB Stetson Bennett and a ground game averaging 5.6 yards per carry. And the defense is second in points allowed (9.1 points per game), fourth in rush defense, and fifth in passing yards allowed. Georgia is 20-5 ATS on grass fields away from home, 28-13 ATS versus winning teams, and 15-6 ATS on neutral fields. Play Georgia.