East Carolina Pirates vs South Florida Bulls Point Spread Picks

East Carolina is 2-2 despite playing all four at home. They just lost to Navy as a 17-point favorite. The Pirates continue to turn the ball over and miss chances to score points. The defense allowed Navy to score 23 points when it had yet to score 14 points in any game. East Carolina is 12-27 ATS after gaining 475+ total yards over three straight contests. South Florida has had a brutal schedule and is home after a two-game trip. That included a 31-28 loss at No. 18 Florida as a 23-point underdog. Sophomore RB Brian Battie (295 yards) is averaging 8.2 yards per carry and the team is 16-6 ATS after a loss by 28+ points, as well as 10-1 ATS after a spread loss. South Florida has won nine of 12 against East Carolina along with a 7-3 spread run, so back the home dog. Play South Florida.

South Florida is 2-5 straight up, but it has covered the number three of its last four games following a 34-14 victory over Temple on Saturday. The Bulls ran for an astonishing 421 yards on 73 carries with Jaren Mangham gaining 152 of those on 26 attempts, and Kelley Joiner added 126 rushing yards. Meanwhile, the Bulls defense held the Owls to just 48 yards on the ground and 183 passing yards. East Carolina has lost its last two games, including 31-24 in overtime to Houston, and the game still stayed UNDER. The Pirates have also gone UNDER five of their seven games this season. South Florida stayed UNDER against Temple as the running game used a lot of clock, and the Owls couldn't do much against the USF defense. The Bulls have covered six of eight versus teams with losing records, and they are 4-1 the last five meetings at East Carolina. The Pirates are 8-21 ATS their past 29 games as favorites and 2-7 ATS their last nine Thursday games. Also, the UNDER is 19-9-2 in USF's last 30 games as a road dog. Take South Florida ATS and the UNDER for a Max Play.

East Carolina may be winless after two games, but the offense has been strong scoring 28 and 29 points. They scored 28 points with 459 yards on No. 13 ranked Central Florida. College football road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points are 36-10 ATS after allowing 37+ points in two straight games, and East Carolina is 23-8 ATS as a road dog of 7 points or less. They face a South Florida squad with a losing record and a weak offense, scoring just 11.3 points per game. The Bulls come off a loss to Cincinnati without 12 players, including eight on defense. They also used four quarterbacks in the game as they are searching for some signal-caller stability. Their QBs have one TD with five picks. South Florida is 4-13 ATS at home off a road loss to a conference rival, so back the visiting dog with the superior offense. Play East Carolina.