SMU improved to 3-2 with a 34-16 win over Charlotte and then had the week off before facing East Carolina, which is 1-4 and its only win was against Gardner-Webb, an FCS school. Jaylan Knighton ran for 150 yards on 11 carries and scored two TDs for SMU against the 49ers and Preston Stone threw two TD passes. East Carolina averages 21 points per game and is #124 in the country with just 304.2 total offense yards per game and #128 with 4.28 yards per play. The Pirates have not covered their past three games versus FBS teams and they come off a 24-17 loss to Rice. SMU has gone UNDER six of seven dating to last season and the Mustangs allow only 18.4 points per game. East Carolina has gone UNDER its past five Thursday games and the Pirates are 4-0 UNDER as underdogs of at least 10.5 points. East Carolina is 1-5 ATS its past six games as an underdog in the first of back-to-back home games and the Pirates returned only four starters on offense. Take SMU (Max Play) and the UNDER.
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Mustangs vs. Pirates Spread Picks
Get this week's Mustangs vs. Pirates point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Mustangs vs. Pirates.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 51% of the public bets were on SMU Mustangs on the -11.5 ATS. And, 67% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that SMU would win by a score of 29.6 to 22.8 with SMU winning on the moneyline, East Carolina winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
CFB
SMU at East Carolina
7:30 PM Eastern
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 71% of the public bets were on SMU Mustangs on the -12 ATS. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that SMU would win by a score of 39.9 to 28.6 with SMU winning on the moneyline, East Carolina winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that East Carolina would win by a score of 39.3 to 28.2 with East Carolina winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 75% of the public bets were on SMU Mustangs on the -22.5 ATS. And, 58% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that SMU would win by a score of 45.1 to 24.4 with SMU winning on the moneyline, East Carolina winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 55% of the public bets were on East Carolina Pirates on the -6.5 ATS. 81% of the public money was on SMU Mustangs to win on the moneyline. And, 87% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that East Carolina would win by a score of 33.9 to 26.9 with East Carolina winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
CFB
SMU at East Carolina
12:00 PM Eastern
SMU is a storied program, one that had to survive the death penalty all the way back in 1987 and 1988. That was preceded by four seasons which saw the Mustangs go 40-5 SU, but a return to glory has never occurred. They have never won more than eight games since, and four of the previous 13 seasons left them with one win or less. The program is on the rebound, however, after posting a 3-21 mark the last two years, the four wins this year top the total from the last two years. Even a Bowl game opportunity is within their grasp. East Carolina has had a rough year. The Pirates only win since Week Two was vs. a UConn team that has lost five straight games. SMU has had enough to knock off Houston this season, and I think we have a false favorite in this game. East Carolina has been brutal in conference play, logging a woeful 4-17 ATS mark the last three years. Take the points on SMU.
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