Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tar Heels Point Spread Picks

Blue Devils vs. Tar Heels Spread Picks

Get this week's Blue Devils vs. Tar Heels point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Blue Devils vs. Tar Heels.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 52% of the public bets were on Duke Blue Devils on the -7 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Duke would win by a score of 29.9 to 21.2 with Duke winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on November 20, 2025 at 11:06AM ET.

CFB

Duke at North Carolina

November 22, 2025

3:30 PM Eastern

Duke has a terrific offense, averaging 420 yards and 32.1 points behind QB Darian Mensah (25 TDs, 4 INTs) and RB Nate Sheppard (700 yards, 6.3 ypc). They've averaged 34.7 points over the last seven contests, including a 46-45 win at Clemson as a dog. North Carolina has little offensive punch after a 28-12 loss to Wake Forest. The defense surrendered 223 rushing yards to Wake Forest. The ground game averages 3.7 yards per carry. The offense ranks 129th in total yards, while the defense is 93rd on third down (42.3%). North Carolina is on an 8-21-1 ATS run. Play Duke. 

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Duke Blue Devils

7

10

7

8

32

North Carolina Tar Heels

7

3

8

7

25

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on Duke Blue Devils on the +1.5 ATS. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Duke would win by a score of 31.6 to 27.8 with Duke winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

North Carolina Tar Heels

10

7

3

0

20

Duke Blue Devils

0

0

7

14

21

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 60% of the public bets were on Duke Blue Devils on the +10 ATS. And, 70% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that North Carolina would win by a score of 28.8 to 26.0 with North Carolina winning on the moneyline, Duke winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on November 09, 2023 at 3:47PM ET.

CFB

Duke at North Carolina

November 11, 2023

8:00 PM Eastern

Duke and North Carolina are tied at 3-2 in the ACC standings. Duke backup QB Grayson Loftis has had to step in but led them to a 24-21 win over Wake Forest last week. He gets help from a ground game that averages 5.2 yards per carry anchored by senior RB Jordan Waters (564 yards, 5.6 ypc) and junior Jaquez Moore (481 yards, 5.6 ypc), along with a defense that is ninth in the country in points given up (16.8 per game). Duke knocked off Clemson, 28-7, as a +12 dog. North Carolina is 1-2 SU/ATS in its last three ACC games surrendering an average of 36 points. That included a loss to Virginia (31-27) as a 24-point favorite and a loss to Georgia Tech (46-42) as 12-point chalk. North Carolina is 54th in the country in points given up (25.4 per game), 69th on third down (39.25%), and 84th in yards allowed (403.3 per game). Play Duke on the moneyline. 

Final Score

1

2

3

4

O

F

Duke Blue Devils

0

14

0

22

3

45

North Carolina Tar Heels

10

6

3

17

3

47

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on North Carolina Tar Heels on the -7 ATS. And, 61% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that North Carolina would win by a score of 37.9 to 30.8 with North Carolina winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

North Carolina Tar Heels

10

7

14

7

38

Duke Blue Devils

7

14

0

14

35

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 62% of the public bets were on Duke Blue Devils on the +19.5 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that North Carolina would win by a score of 47.7 to 27.7 with North Carolina winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Duke Blue Devils

0

0

7

0

7

North Carolina Tar Heels

7

17

0

14

38