Charlotte has had a tough schedule but comes off a 22-7 loss at No. 25 Florida as a +28 underdog. They also covered as a big dog at Maryland. SMU is a huge favorite despite going 7-5 last year and 2-2 this season. The Mustangs lost star QB Tanner Mordecai in the offseason, transferring to Wisconsin. They've used four quarterbacks already and second-leading rusher L.J. Johnson Jr. (ankle) is questionable to play. The defense is allowing 25 points per game (the same as last season) and is 73rd in the country in third-down defense (40.91%) and 55th in total defense. SMU is 28-46 ATS against teams that allow 5.9 yards per play, plus 27-45 ATS versus pass defenses that give up 250+ passing yards per contest. With SMU 47-72 ATS off a road loss, back the big underdog. Play Charlotte.
Previous Matchups & Picks
September 30, 2023 7:30pm ET
@
Charlotte 49ers
#205
SMU Mustangs
#206
Lines & Odds
+22.5 (-110)
ATS
-22.5 (-110)
+926
Moneyline
-1811
OVER 53 (-110)
Total
UNDER 53 (-110)
49ers vs. Mustangs Spread Picks
Get this week's 49ers vs. Mustangs point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between 49ers vs. Mustangs.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 62% of the public bets were on SMU Mustangs on the -22.5 ATS. And, 64% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that SMU would win by a score of 34.1 to 22.2 with SMU winning on the moneyline, Charlotte winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
This Pro Pick was released to clients on September 28, 2023 at 10:39AM ET.
Charlotte at SMU
September 30, 2023
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Charlotte 49ers
0
3
6
7
16
SMU Mustangs
14
3
10
7
34
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