If Central Florida has proven one thing this year, it's that they can really beat up on bad defensive teams. There are 120 teams in NCAA Football. Central Florida played against these nine teams in terms of their overall defensive rank: SMU (No. 118), UTEP (No. 116), UAB (No. 115), Tulsa twice (No. 111), Marshall (No. 109), UL Lafayette (No. 105), Memphis (No. 101) and East Carolina (No. 99). That means of the 22 lowest-possible defensive teams, they played a schedule complete with nine of them! They proceeded to dominate offensively averaging 44 ppg. Well, surprise! Here comes Mississippi State with the No. 29 ranked defense. Central Florida played four games against teams with a defensive rank of No. 35 or better and proceeded to average 288 yards a game. That would put them at No. 116 offensively. The two teams they played that had a defensive rank in the 20s or less, like Mississippi State, held them to 235.5 yards a game which would be dead last in the NCAA! Mississippi State beat Auburn, Alabama and Kentucky. Take a look at Kentucky, a team that outscored Central Florida on the season, but did it against the SEC. Kentucky managed 14 points against Mississippi State on their own field, while being held to 319 yards. Kentucky put up an average of 500 yards a game at home including an average of 484 yards a game against Florida, Tennessee and LSU! Think Mississippi State can stop this Central Florida offense? We do! Wrong team favored in this one.
Previous Matchups & Picks
December 29, 2007 4:30pm ET
@
Central Florida Knights
#415
Mississippi State Bulldogs
#416
Lines & Odds
-3 (-105)
ATS
+3 (-115)
-137
Moneyline
+120
OVER 53 (-110)
Total
UNDER 53 (-115)
Knights vs. Bulldogs Spread Picks
Get this week's Knights vs. Bulldogs point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Knights vs. Bulldogs.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Central Florida would win by a score of 28.2 to 24.7 with Central Florida winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
Central Florida at Mississippi State
December 29, 2007
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