California Golden Bears vs Miami Florida Hurricanes Point Spread Picks

Miami has been a hard team to figure out offensively. They have used two QBs with neither being highly effective. They rank only No. 87 on offense basead on yards. Although that looks like this team wouldn't score, they average 28 points per game. The reason is pretty simple. Miami has put together some of the best red-zone numbers in the country where they have scored 41 out of 44 times. That is 93% of the time - good for a #5 ranking in the NCAA. They also have an excellent FG Kicker in Bosher who connected on 17 of 19 tries. So although the offensive rank is poor the offensive output is good with lots of hidden value. They have done a good job getting pressure on the QB, but have had some difficulty against the run. Part of that is due to large numbers run up by Georgia Tech and their unique triple-option offense. California is a very good running team at #5 in the country in rushing yards. Like Miami, Cal has been shuffling QBs and that weakness may allow Miami to stack the box and force this team into the air and out of their comfort zone. The offense has put up 33 points per game, but the PAC-10 is not loaded with defense. This is a good matchup, and I think Miami has a chance to win this game. At the very least, they stay within a score here, so I'll grab the points with the Canes.