San Diego State has a winning record and this is the biggest underdog spread they've seen all season. They've actually only been a dog one other time and lost 20-10 at Colorado of the Pac 12. The defense is third in the country in yards allowed (269.1 per game), eighth against the run and in points surrendered (16.3 pg). Home teams like BYU that average over 4.8 yards per rush are 15-40 ATS when facing a non-conference team with a great run defense that allows 3.0 or fewer yards per carry. BYU is in a let-down spot after its bid for an undefeated season ended Saturday in a 22-17 loss to Coastal Carolina as a 10-point favorite. BYU is 7-19 ATS at home against rushing defenses that allow 120 or fewer yards per game. Last season, San Diego State shut down BYU's offense in a 13-3 win, and the dog has covered four of the last five meetings. Take San Diego State as my Max Play.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Aztecs vs. Cougars Spread Picks
Get this week's Aztecs vs. Cougars point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Aztecs vs. Cougars.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on BYU Cougars on the -16.5 ATS. And, 68% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that BYU would win by a score of 32.1 to 14.4 with BYU winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
CFB
San Diego State at BYU
10:00 PM Eastern
Final Score
CFB Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 56% of the public bets were on BYU Cougars on the -4.5 ATS. And, 50% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that BYU would win by a score of 19.7 to 18.5 with BYU winning on the moneyline, San Diego State winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
CFB
BYU at San Diego State
9:00 PM Eastern
San Diego State has gone UNDER in 10 of its 11 games this season, including last week's 14-11 snoozer in a loss at Hawaii and it went UNDER by 22 points. The Aztecs are third in the country in yards allowed and giving up only 13.7 points per game. They also are third in rushing yards allowed with 71.9 per game. BYU allows 25.5 points and the Cougars are #43 in pass defense. It's a different story for San Diego State on the other side of the ball as it's only #100 in total yards gained while scoring just 19.5 points per game. The Aztecs had 318 total yards against Hawaii and Ryan Agnew completed 25-of-39 for 229 yards, but he couldn't get his team into the end zone until he ran it in himself from five yards out early in the fourth quarter. The Cougars did go OVER against hapless Massachusetts, but they had given up an average of only 16 points their previous three games. BYU is 19-8-1 UNDER its last 28 games on natural grass and 19-7 UNDER its last 26 after a win. The UNDER is 34-16-1 in the Aztecs' last 51 home games and they are 52-25-1 UNDER their last 78 games overall. Play the UNDER.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 52% of the public bets were on San Diego State Aztecs on the +3 ATS. 55% of the public money was on San Diego State Aztecs to win on the moneyline. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that BYU would win by a score of 23.9 to 23.1 with BYU winning on the moneyline, San Diego State winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 62% of the public bets were on San Diego State Aztecs on the -4.5 ATS. 54% of the public money was on BYU Cougars to win on the moneyline. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that San Diego State would win by a score of 26.8 to 22.7 with San Diego State winning on the moneyline, BYU winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 85% of the public bets were on BYU Cougars on the -17.5 ATS. 85% of the public money was on BYU Cougars to win on the moneyline. And, 64% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that BYU would win by a score of 35.4 to 20.0 with BYU winning on the moneyline, San Diego State winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
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