Toledo improved to 5-2 with a 13-6 win over Northern Illinois, covering as a 3-point underdog. Alan Richter and Jerjuan Newton connected on a 52-yard TD pass and the rest of the scoring was field goals as the Rockets held the Huskies to 4-for-19 on third down and 2-of-8 on fourth in a defensive battle, as the game stayed UNDER by 23.5 points. Bowling Green is 5-2 UNDER this season after beating Kent State 27-6 while not covering the 24-point spread. The Falcons are have gone UNDER by an average of 21.8 points their past two games, including a 17-7 loss to Northern Illinois. Bowling Green has lost six of its past seven meetings at Toledo, and 12 of the past 14 meetings overall, and I expect a strong defensive effort here. Take this game to stay UNDER the number.
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on Bowling Green Falcons on the +11 ATS. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Toledo would win by a score of 28.3 to 17.6 with Toledo winning on the moneyline, Bowling Green winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 70% of the public bets were on Toledo Rockets on the -2 ATS. And, 53% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Toledo would win by a score of 26.7 to 24.6 with Toledo winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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Bowling Green at Toledo
3:30 PM Eastern
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on Toledo Rockets on the -10 ATS. And, 69% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Toledo would win by a score of 30.6 to 22.1 with Toledo winning on the moneyline, Bowling Green winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on Toledo Rockets on the -15 ATS. And, 66% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Toledo would win by a score of 37.2 to 16.4 with Toledo winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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Bowling Green at Toledo
7:00 PM Eastern
Bowling Green was sailing along with a three-game win streak and then the Falcons came out and got thoroughly embarrassed in a 40-6 loss to Kent State on Wednesday. The Falcons will be in a foul mood as they take on Toledo in a revenge game as the Rockets won last year's meeting. Bowling Green quarterback Matt McDonald actually had a decent day against the Golden Flashes throwing for 246 yards on 31 of 40 passing with a TD and an interception, but the Falcons had trouble getting into the end zone. Bowling Green was a 17-point underdog against Marshall on Sept. 17 and won outright 34-31 in overtime. Toledo comes off a 28-21 win over Ball State with Dequan Finn completing 21 of 38 for 301 yards and three TDs with an interception. The Falcons are 5-1-1 ATS their past seven games versus teams with winning records and the road team is 6-2-1 ATS the past nine meetings. Bowling Green has gone UNDER four of its past five games, including the last two that have stayed UNDER by an average of 18.5 points. Toledo has gone UNDER its past two games and the Rockets are 7-3 UNDER their past 10 Tuesday games. The Falcons are 9-3 UNDER after scoring fewer than 20 points their previous game. Take Bowling Green ATS for a unit, and play a half-unit on the moneyline. Also book this game to stay UNDER.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 53% of the public bets were on Toledo Rockets on the -10.5 ATS. And, 64% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Toledo would win by a score of 29.5 to 20.2 with Toledo winning on the moneyline, Bowling Green winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
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