Bowling Green Falcons vs Northwestern Wildcats Point Spread Picks

Winless Bowling Green was terrible last season on offense under first-year coach Mike Jinx, ranking last in passing efficiency. Their QBs combined for 19 TDs, 25 TDs. Not much has changed with the offense scoring 37 points in two games. QB James Morgan has two TDs, two picks and is completing 37.5% of his passes. Last week they were favored at home over South Dakota and lost straight-up. Bowling Green has gone six straight games UNDER the total, 8-3 UNDER after a defeat, as well as 21-7 UNDER after a spread loss. They face a dynamite Northwestern defense that returns eight starters from last season, a team that held Ohio State to 24 points on the road and gave up 21 to Wisconsin. The defense is in bounce-back mode after a bad game against Duke, but the Wildcats are on a 13-6 run UNDER the total, including 21-5 UNDER at home. They are also 36-16 UNDER on natural grass, plus 21-6 UNDER the total in non-conference games. This one finishes UNDER the total.