Bowling Green Falcons vs Idaho Vandals Point Spread Picks

Bowling Green won two games last year and finished the season scoring just 14 points per game in their final three. Idaho did a little better, but not much. Both teams return just four starters on offense so don't expect a whole lot of improvement, especially early on. The Vandals do return 10 starters from a defense that finished last season very strong, holding their last three opponents to just 17.3 points per game. With 14 combined new offensive starters on the field in this one, I expect a low scoring affair.

Humanitarian Bowl - Bronco Stadium - Boise, ID. Going back to the beginning of the season, the Idaho Vandals are the last team anyone thought would be playing in a Bowl game. They surprised everyone and will be playing in what will be a close to a home game for their reward. The Falcons stumbled to a 1-4 record, but finished winning six of their last seven to get here. There will be a lot of Tyler Sheehan to Freddie Barnes hook-ups in this one. Barnes has an amazing 138 receptions, 1,551 receiving yards and has caught 16 for TDs. The Vandals have a big-time passing attack that has produced over 9.5 yards per attempt, and the Falcons will be on the run all day. Idaho features three receivers all averaging 16.7 yards per catch or better. On defense, the Vandals haven't been able to stop anyone, as they allowed 39.5 per game on the road and 48.7 per game in their last three. Idaho is 7-0 OVER in their last seven road games vs. winning teams. The past two seasons they are 6-0 OVER when facing a passing defense that can't stop them (those that allow 58%+ completions). And, they are 10-1 OVER in their last eleven road games vs. teams that complete 58%+ of their passes. I see a lot of up and down the field in this game in what might be the highest scoring Bowl game of the season. I'm taking the OVER here.