Bowling Green Falcons vs Eastern Michigan Eagles Point Spread Picks

Eastern Michigan is the only MAC team to have never played in the league championship game since the conference began in 1997. The Eagles won't be ending that streak this season. They are 2-7 this year, sitting 11th in the MAC. That record stands at 2-12, dating back to the last 14 games. No FBS team gives up more rushing yards per game than Eastern Michigan. The Eagles rank 125th in total defense and 121st in scoring defense. Their offense averages 24.1 points per game, which ranks 95th. Yet the Eagles find themselves as a favorite for only the second time this season. The first time didn't go so well for Eastern Michigan as it lost, 28-23, to FCS opponent Long Island as a 22.5-point home favorite. Bowling Green has a better record than Eastern Michigan at 3-6. The Falcons have beaten the Eagles in eight of the last 12 meetings. The linesmaker has a strong tendency to underrate the Falcons, as they are 9-1 ATS over the past 10 times when receiving points, including 4-1 ATS as an underdog this season. Take Bowling Green. 

Bowling Green has gotten clobbered when playing a Power 5 or Group of 5 school, but now that the Falcons are back in their league they have a chance to be respectable. The Falcons lost 27-26 to North Dakota and 41-21 to Middle Tennessee in their other two games. They are also coming off a 10-4 season with seven returning starters on defense. Offensively, quarterback James Knapke is completing only 50 percent of his pass attempts and has thrown nine interceptions. Bowling Green ranks #106 in the country in total yards of offense. Eastern Michigan already has won two more games than all of last season and is coming off wins over Wyoming and Charlotte. The Eagles held Wyoming to 79 rushing yards on just 2.1 yards per carry and 313 total yards. The Falcons went UNDER in the two games that were sandwiched around Ohio State and Memphis this season and they have actually gone UNDER their last four conference games mainly because the posted totals have been so high. That is the situation we have in this matchup, so take the UNDER.

Bowling Green has put together back-to-back successful seasons. And at 7-3, they're in line to be playing in a Bowl game somewhere. This team had a great defense last year, but lacked a consistent offense. They started this season with a defense, of which a lot was expected, not living up to the billing. That has changed dramatically the last two weeks as they have not allowed a TD. This season's offense has been better than advertised, and has been in the 40s over the last two weeks. Eastern Michigan is the worst defending team in the country, so getting back into the 40s should be likely here while the Falcons' defense contains a rather pedestrian Eastern Michigan attack. Put it all together, and a blowout appears likely here. Play on Bowling Green.