Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls Point Spread Picks

Bowling Green is out to avenge an embarrassing defeat as the Bulls won 38-7 last year as just a two-point favorite. The Falcons upset Georgia Tech 38-27 two weeks ago as a three-touchdown underdog and then apparently suffered a letdown and lost 27-0 to Miami Ohio on Saturday. Buffalo has covered the spread its past three games, but each was as an underdog and the Bulls are 0-4 ATS their past four games as favorites. Bowling Green has been going mostly with Connor Bazelak at quarterback and he has thrown for 826 yards with a 112.1 QB rating. Terion Stewart has been the offensive star for the Falcons with 416 rushing yards on 6.3 yards per carry and four TDs. Cole Snyder was 20 of 32 for 232 yards with no TDs or picks as Buffalo defeated Central Michigan 37-13 last week. Buffalo already has lost to Fordham, an FCS school, and barely edged Akron in overtime 13-10 on Sept. 30. Make it a Max Play on Bowling Green. 

Buffalo has bounced back from an 0-3 start to win its last two games over Eastern Michigan and Miami-Ohio, including exploding for 50 points against the Eagles. QB Cole Snyder did not have a great day against the Redhawks completing 19 of 35 for 188 yards and a touchdown with an interception. However, it was enough to get the win as he tossed a TD pass to Justin Marshall with 31 seconds left for the game-winning score. The Bulls are in revenge after losing last year's meeting 56-44 and they are 6-2 ATS the past eight meetings with Bowling Green. The Falcons are 2-3 straight up and 1-3-1 ATS after not covering the number as a nine-point favorite in a 31-28 win at Akron, which is one of the worst teams in the country. The Zips totaled 408 yards of offense while keeping the game closer than expected. Buffalo is 9-3-1 ATS its past 13 October games and the road team has covered 11 of the past 16 meetings. Bowling Green is 5-12 ATS its past 17 conference games and just 10-25 ATS its past 35 home games. Also, the Falcons are 3-9-1 ATS their last 13 games after a win. Take Buffalo - Max Play 

Buffalo has won two in a row following a 45-10 victory at Akron, and Bowling Green has lost four straight after being routed, 55-24, by Eastern Michigan. The Falcons have allowed an average of 37.8 points their last four games, and Buffalo is averaging 32.4 points on the season. Kyle Vantrease completed 15 of 20 for 241 yards and 3 touchdowns with no picks against the Zips, and Dylan McDuffie ran for 111 yards. The Bulls have won the last four games against Bowling Green, but they won't take the Falcons lightly as they did upset Minnesota earlier in the season. Buffalo is 6-1 ATS the past seven meetings, and the one it didn't cover was last year, but only because the Bulls were a 31.5-point favorite and won 42-17. Bowling Green is 3-9 ATS its past 12 conference games and 11-23 ATS following an ATS loss. Buffalo is 8-2-1 ATS its last 11 October games and 13-5 ATS as a favorite. Take Buffalo.