Boston College Eagles vs USC Trojans

Lane Kiffin is taking a lot of heat at USC, as he should be. He could be the first coach to go this season after his team inexplicably lost to Washington State at home last week as a 16-point favorite. In that game the Trojans could score all of 7 points. This is the same Washington State team that allowed 31 points to an Auburn team that won all of three games last season. Washington State had given up 30 points or more in 14 of their last 22 games, and the Trojans went for under 200 total yards. USC also managed just 364 yards vs. a bad Hawaii team the week before. This is not an offense, it is a train wreck. The good news is that the Trojans have allowed just 23 points in their first two games, and Boston College is no better offensively than what they have seen to this point. BC scored 24 against both Villanova and Wake Forest, and USC is much better on the defensive side than both of those squads. The Eagles are 36-14-1 to the UNDER in their last 51 games, including 20-6 to the UNDER outside the conference. They are also 10-1 UNDER as a road dog the past three seasons. USC is 15-6 UNDER in the Kiffin era following an ATS loss including 9-1 UNDER after back-to-back losses. Play this one UNDER the total.

Emerald Bowl- AT&T Park - San Francisco, CA. The team with the most disappointing season this year in NCAAF has to be the USC Trojans. The Trojans were one of the teams picked to have a shot at the BCS Title game at the beginning of the season, but never lived up to the billing. They lost four games - one against lowly Washington and two others they lost by 24+ points each! If there is ever a team that is in the "Disappointment Bowl," the Trojans are at the top of that list. It seems clear now that the Trojans, by "potential" and reputation were overrated all season. They were installed as a favorite in all 12 of their games played this season. They managed to go just 3-9 ATS. Here they are again posted as a big favorite in a game where they have to be deflated to even be playing in. When you start the year thinking National Championship, the non-BCS Emerald Bowl just can't get you fired up. For Boston College, regardless of the year it has been for USC, they have to be salivating to play against one of the top programs in the country as the Eagles have feasted at Bowl time. The Eagles have made 15 Bowl appearances since 1985, having won 12 of them. They have won eight of their last nine with the only loss by 2 points. And, they are excited to be here. "I think it's good for our program. It's interesting, and I think it's good," head coach Frank Spaziani said. "Whenever you play somebody like that, it gets everybody's attention." The Trojans are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven as a favorite while the Eagles are 13-3 ATS spread in their last 16 as a dog of 3.5-10. I like Boston College in this one.