Boston College Eagles vs Cincinnati Bearcats Point Spread Picks

BIRMINGHAM BOWL - Boston College beat up on some low-level competition this year, but when they faced Bowl-quality teams, the story was quite different. Versus Clemson and Notre Dame, they scored just 7 points in each game. Dating back to last season, the Bearcats are a perfect 6-0 ATS vs. teams like BC that allow 8+ passing yards per attempt. Cincinnati is 10-3 UNDER in coach Luke Fickell's third year as coach and his defense is #52 in the country in yards allowed while giving up 21.7 points per game. Boston College is #6 in rushing yardage, a time-consuming approach, and will tend to make this matchup lower-scoring. The Eagles will be without running back AJ Dillon, who rushed for 1,880 yards and 15 touchdowns. Dillon instead will prepare for the NFL Draft. Cincinnati held three opponents, UConn, USF and Temple to a total of 33 points and then closed the season with two losses to Memphis while holding the high-powered Tigers offense to an average of 32.5 points, which is eight points below its average and both games went UNDER. The UNDER is 36-14-2 in Boston College's last 52 games after giving up fewer than 20 points its previous game and that game versus Pittsburgh stayed UNDER by seven points. The UNDER is 20-8 in Cincy's last 28 games after a loss. Play the Bearcats and the UNDER.