Boise State enters this season as my No. 1 ranked team. This is a huge game for both teams for obvious reasons. Boise State has enough talent to be in the National Championship but they absolutely need a win here to keep that dream alive. Virginia Tech is loaded as well, so it should be a fun game to watch. The Broncos have just about everything back from a year ago including 10 starters on both offense and defense. Last year's team really defended the top teams on their schedule. They held a huge offense in Oregon to 8 points they and won their Bowl game vs. another big offense in TCU, holding the Horned Frogs to just 10 points. I expect them to come up big on the defensive side of the ball once again given what is on the line for them. The Broncos catch a lot of flack for weak schedule but they take care of business in big games. They simply do what is asked of them, even vs. top-level competition. They took care of Oklahoma in their Bowl game a few years back and last season they went 14-0 and beat the #3 ranked team in the country in their Bowl game. What else can you ask for? Kellen Moore is as good as they come. In two seasons, he is 26-1, having thrown for over 7000 yards with a TD to INT ratio of 64:13. They are also 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games. While Frank beamer has a better offense, his defense is always tough. When playing a BCS Conference schedule, Virginia Tech has only allowed four teams to score more than 30 points against them in six years. Under Chris Petersen, the Broncos are 6-0 UNDER in expected close games (line of +3 to -3). I like Boise State and the UNDER here.
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 60% of the public bets were on Boise State Broncos on the +1.5 ATS. 52% of the public money was on Boise State Broncos to win on the moneyline. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Virginia Tech would win by a score of 26.3 to 25.3 with Virginia Tech winning on the moneyline, Boise State winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
Boise State at Virginia Tech
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