Baylor Bears vs TX-SA Roadrunners Point Spread Picks

Texas-San Antonio has a solid defense, with beef up front and strong defensive ends in Solomon Wise, Jarrod Carter-McLin, and Lorenzo Dantzler. Dantzler was named on Pro Football Focus' All Conference-USA Second Team in 2018 with 27 tackles, 3.5 sacks, and two forced fumbles. New starting QB Frank Harris was strong in Week 1 with three TDs, no picks, and 28-of-36 passing. A college football road team like UTSA that allowed 400+ total yards per game the previous year with five defensive starters returning is 63-28 ATS in the first two weeks of the season. Baylor is on a 2-8 spread run at home and is 9-21-1 ATS when playing on natural grass. Texas-San Antonio lost 37-20 to Baylor last season (30-20 in the fourth quarter) allowing 2.9 yards per rush while forcing a fumble. With Baylor 5-11-1 ATS when following a victory, look for the improved big dog to keep it close again. Play Texas-San Antonio.

Baylor was embarrassed last week in one of the biggest upsets in recent years as it lost to FCS Liberty 48-45 as a 33.5-point favorite. Now the Bears figure to take out their anger and frustration against Teas-San Antonio, which is playing its first game of the season due to the cancellation of its game at Houston. Baylor's offense wasn't the problem as it finished with 532 total yards, including 254 rushing yards on 7.5 yards per carry. However, Liberty quarterback Stephen Calvert had a field day throwing for 447 yards and three touchdowns on 44-of-60 pass attempts. Anu Solomon was 14-of-29 for 278 yards and three TDs for the Bears. Baylor is 6-1 ATS its last seven games against Conference USA teams and the Roadrunners are 2-6-1 ATS their last nine road contests. Baylor has covered the spread in 30 of its last 44 home games and UTSA is just 2-5 ATS its last seven September games. Look for the Bears to make up for last week's debacle in a big way and play Baylor.