This is the second road game of the season for Texas State and the first one was a disaster, losing 38-14 at Nevada as a favorite. Texas State was 4-8 last season, losing just 29-20 to Baylor in the opener. However, they allowed 238 yards rushing while the offense had just 235 total yards and turned it over three times to the Bears. That was at home, too, and this team lost at Eastern Michigan in 2021, 59-21, and at Louisiana, 45-0. Texas State QB Layne Hatcher threw 10 interceptions in 2019, 13 in 2021, and has three already in two games this season. The offense has six turnovers. Baylor is off a 12-2 campaign with high hopes so they won't be in a good mood after their first loss, a 26-20 defeat in two overtimes at No. 21 BYU. QB Blake Shapen (3 TDs, 0 INTs) has been very good and Baylor is 11-3 ATS on turf, plus 44-24 ATS after allowing 100 or fewer rushing yards in the last game. Play Baylor.
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 74% of the public bets were on Baylor Bears on the -27 ATS. And, 56% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Baylor would win by a score of 43.0 to 14.0 with Baylor winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 64% of the public bets were on Baylor Bears on the -30 ATS. And, 71% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Baylor would win by a score of 40.8 to 10.8 with Baylor winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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Texas State at Baylor
12:00 PM Eastern
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 73% of the public bets were on Baylor Bears on the -13.5 ATS. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Baylor would win by a score of 33.3 to 21.6 with Baylor winning on the moneyline, Texas State winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
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