CAMELLIA BOWL - Ball State worked hard to make this bowl after starting 1-3 in September. Their run to this game includes a 28-16 win over Army as a +10 dog, a 45-20 win at Western Michigan as a +12 dog, and a 20-3 victory over Buffalo in the finale to secure bowl eligibility. Ball State has excellent balance on offense behind senior QB Drew Plitt (17 TDs, five INTs) and freshman RB Carson Steele (829 yards, 4.7 per carry). Ball State is 13-3 ATS against winning teams, including 11-3 ATS away from home versus winning teams. Georgia State is #59 in the nation defensively while allowing 147 yards rushing per game and #81 in points allowed (27.6 per game). Georgia State also played Army and lost 43-10. The underdog matches up well, and this bowl has had seven straight games that have been decided in the fourth quarter, with three decided on the final play. Play Ball State.
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 64% of the public bets were on Ball State Cardinals on the +6.5 ATS. And, 66% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Georgia State would win by a score of 28.4 to 22.5 with Georgia State winning on the moneyline, Ball State winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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Ball State vs. Georgia State
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 73% of the public bets were on Georgia State Panthers on the -6.5 ATS. 59% of the public money was on Ball State Cardinals to win on the moneyline. And, 56% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Georgia State would win by a score of 32.3 to 21.1 with Georgia State winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 84% of the public bets were on Ball State Cardinals on the -14 ATS. And, 53% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Ball State would win by a score of 38.9 to 27.1 with Ball State winning on the moneyline, Georgia State winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
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