Auburn Tigers vs New Mexico State Aggies Point Spread Picks

It wasn't too long ago that Cam Newton was leading the Auburn Tigers to a National Championship. It has been a big comedown for Coach Gene Chezik since then as Auburn owns just a single win on the season. They will likely be taking those frustrations out on a very poor New Mexico State team here. The Aggies have yet to beat an FBS team this season, losing seven straight. This team has now given up 40 or more points to nine of their last 13 opponents, and has not scored more than 18 in any of their last five. Do the math and you’ll see that this big number stands a good chance to fall. All losses aren't created equal and six of the seven Auburn losses have occurred in the SEC where there are no easy games. The seventh loss was against Clemson. Auburn is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games following a blowout loss by 21+ points. The last seven Aggies’ road games have resulted in a 308-100 total deficit, or by just shy of 30 per game. I look for Auburn to take their frustrations out here and duplicate those numbers.

New Mexico State's offense can keep them in any game. Chase Holbrook threw for 384 yards per game last season and so far this year he's improved on that in 2007, averaging nearly 400 per game on 74% accuracy. The offense as a whole is putting up 523 yards per game (6.7 per play) and 33 points per contest. Auburn has been a major dissapointment thus far. They are 1-2 at a point they were expected to be sitting pretty at 3-0. They beat Kansas State in their opener but failed to cover the spread. Then they lost back-to-back games as heavy favorites. South Florida beat them 23-26 as a 7 point dog and Mississippi State won 19-14 last week getting 12 from the Tigers. Auburn is averaging just 20 points per game, a result of returning just five starters from the 2006 squad. This is just too many points, especially considering that Auburn could be caught looking ahead to next week's big matchup vs. Florida. After last week's debacle vs. Mississippi State, Auburn's record in their last nine as a double-digit favorite? 0-9. Take this potent offense against an overrated Tigers team.