Army Black Knights vs Georgia State Panthers Point Spread Picks

Army likes to run the football, which chews up yards and the clock, while winless Georgia State doesn't have a great offense averaging 26.7 points. Georgia State QB Darren Grainger has 9 TDs, 4 picks, while the ground attack is averaging just 4.2 yards per carry. Georgia State is 22-9 UNDER the total against losing teams. Army is averaging 285 yards rushing while its quarterbacks are a combined 17-of-27 through three games. Army is off a bye week and 34-16 UNDER the total after a bye, plus 35-20 UNDER with two or more weeks to prepare, and 29-18 UNDER after playing a home game. The Army defense held Georgia State to 177 total yards and 10 points when they met last year. Take Georgia State/Army UNDER the total - Max Play

A pair of teams off winning campaigns clash and both like to run. Army loses its top quarterback and that's key in a triple-option attack. The Black Knights also have to replace four starters on the offensive line and key pieces to what was a terrific defense. Army doesn't travel well, failing to cover four of its last five road games. Georgia State averaged 33.3 points per game last season going to its third bowl game in four years under coach Shawn Elliott. The offense is loaded with speed and experience once again behind quarterback Cornelious Brown IV, good skill position threats, along with the entire starting offensive line. Georgia State is 9-2 ATS when the betting line is +3 to -3 and they beat Army two years ago, 28-21. Play Georgia State.

Army went way UNDER by 18.5 points last week, losing 17-8 at Western Kentucky and Georgia State stayed UNDER by 12.5 points while beating Coastal Carolina 31-21. Western Kentucky had Army's option offense figured out and the Black Knights didn't even score until the fourth quarter. The Knights were held to 137 rushing yards, which is very little for them and the Hilltoppers ran the ball 51 times for 225 yards. Georgia State rushed a whopping 56 times for 350 yards versus the Chanticleers and Dan Ellington went 16-of-24 for 122 yards with a touchdown and interception and he also ran for 128 yards. Army has gone UNDER four straight against Sun Belt teams and the Black Knights are 25-10 UNDER their last 35 games versus teams with winning records. The UNDER is 14-4 in the Panthers' last 18 games after a win. Two teams that love to run the ball will result in a lot of time consumption. Play this matchup to stay UNDER the posted total.