Arkansas State Red Wolves vs UNLV Rebels Point Spread Picks

UNLV is in a revenge game against Arkansas State as the Red Wolves won last year's meeting 27-20, and it went UNDER by nearly 20 points. Arkansas State went UNDER in its last five games last season, but it did manage a 37-30 win over SMU last week. The Rebels racked up 331 rushing yards on 45 carries in their win over Southern Utah while holding the Thunderbirds to 1.2 yards per carry. UNLV quarterback Armani Rogers went 11-of-17 for 144 yards and a touchdown, while Charles Williams ran for 143 yards on 15 carries. The Rebels return nine offensive starters, including four on the offensive line, and they're not taking any team for granted as they showed last week after losing to Howard in the 2017 opener. The posted total is inflated due to last week's results, and the Rebels have stayed UNDER in four in a row when following a win and Arkansas State is 4-0 UNDER versus Mountain West teams. The Red Wolves are 1-5 ATS in their last six September games and 2-7 ATS over their last nine versus teams with winning records. UNLV is 6-1 ATS its last seven September games, and it has covered four of its last five non-conference games. The UNDER is 34-16-1 UNDER in Arkansas State's last 51 non-conference games and 18-7 UNDER its last 25 September games. Take UNLV and the UNDER.