Two of the best teams in the Sun Belt West square off. Arkansas State is 62-41 UNDER the total as an underdog, 39-19 UNDER versus winning teams, and 24-11 UNDER away from home after a win by 17+ points. Troy's defense is leading the way allowing an average of 15.6 points in the last three games. The offense leans on RB Kimani Vidal (590 yards, 5.7 ypc) and a strong ground attack chews up yards and the clock. And college football conference games involving two teams with winning percentages between 51% to 60% are 92-44 UNDER the total. Play Arkansas State/Troy UNDER the total.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Red Wolves vs. Trojans Spread Picks
Get this week's Red Wolves vs. Trojans point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Red Wolves vs. Trojans.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 67% of the public bets were on Troy Trojans on the -7.5 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Troy would win by a score of 29.7 to 21.4 with Troy winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
CFB Pro Pick Results
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 69% of the public bets were on Arkansas State Red Wolves on the -7.5 ATS. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Arkansas State would win by a score of 25.7 to 24.9 with Arkansas State winning on the moneyline, Troy winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 58% of the public bets were on Arkansas State Red Wolves on the +15.5 ATS. And, 62% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Troy would win by a score of 37.2 to 16.1 with Troy winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
Arkansas State at Troy
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on Arkansas State Red Wolves on the +13.5 ATS. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Troy would win by a score of 28.1 to 16.8 with Troy winning on the moneyline, Arkansas State winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
Troy at Arkansas State
Troy is 9-2 and 8-3 ATS and the Trojans have won eight in a row after beating UL Monroe 34-16 with Kimani Vidal piling up 242 yards rushing on 8.3 yards per carry with two touchdowns. Quarterback Gunnar Watson didn't have to do much with that kind of production from Vidal and he threw only 17 times and completed 10 for 78 yards for the Trojans, who held the Warhawks to 83 rushing yards. Troy has allowed an average of only 13.3 points during the winning streak and Arkansas State has scored an average of just 18 points per game their past six games. The Red Wolves are 2-4 ATS in that span and they lost 16-13 to Texas State last week while gaining only 54 yards on the ground on 23 carries. Arkansas State is 3-8 this season and Troy won the last meeting in 2020 by a 38-10 score. The Trojans have covered five straight road games and Arkansas State is 2-5 ATS its past seven home contests. Play Troy.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 60% of the public bets were on Arkansas State Red Wolves on the -3.5 ATS. And, 53% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Arkansas State would win by a score of 35.2 to 32.7 with Arkansas State winning on the moneyline, Troy winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
Troy at Arkansas State
Troy got run over by No. 18 ranked BYU but has been terrific in all the other games, winning three times while dropping a close one to Georgia State (36-34). The offense has tallied 47, 37, 31, and 34 points in four of their five games. They will be able to move the ball and score on an Arkansas State defense that is one of the worst in the nation allowing 488.3 yards (11th-worst), 197 yards rushing, and 40.7 points (12th worst) per game. Arkansas State has backup sophomore QB Layne Hatcher stepping in for injured QB Logan Bonner. The wagering value is on Troy to win the game. Take Troy on the moneyline.
Final Score
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