The Red Wolves own one of the top scoring offenses in the country, putting up 41 points per game. Their average margin of victory is nearly three touchdowns per game. And, they have not played an entirely creampuff schedule. They have faced both SMU and Nebraska, covering the big number against the Cornhuskers in their opener. New Mexico State has also played above expectations this season, but I think they are simply out-matched here on offense. Under head coach Blake Anderson, the Red Wolves are 20-10 ATS as a favorite, 20-7 ATS in conference games, and 13-4 ATs vs. bad defensive teams like the Aggies (teams giving up 31+ points per game). Lay the points in this one.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Red Wolves vs. Aggies Spread Picks
Get this week's Red Wolves vs. Aggies point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Red Wolves vs. Aggies.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 62% of the public bets were on Arkansas State Red Wolves on the -3.5 ATS. 56% of the public money was on New Mexico State Aggies to win on the moneyline. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Arkansas State would win by a score of 32.9 to 31.5 with Arkansas State winning on the moneyline, New Mexico State winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
Arkansas State at New Mexico State
Final Score
CFB Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 70% of the public bets were on Arkansas State Red Wolves on the -18.5 ATS. 83% of the public money was on New Mexico State Aggies to win on the moneyline. And, 69% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Arkansas State would win by a score of 38.1 to 22.7 with Arkansas State winning on the moneyline, New Mexico State winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 79% of the public bets were on Arkansas State Red Wolves on the -17.5 ATS. 57% of the public money was on Arkansas State Red Wolves to win on the moneyline. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Arkansas State would win by a score of 41.3 to 26.7 with Arkansas State winning on the moneyline, New Mexico State winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 73% of the public bets were on Arkansas State Red Wolves on the -23.5 ATS. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Arkansas State would win by a score of 40.9 to 20.9 with Arkansas State winning on the moneyline, New Mexico State winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
New Mexico State at Arkansas State
Football hasn't been the strong suit at New Mexico State in recent memory. That can be summed up by the Aggies' 86-234 record over their last 320 games. They have not benefitted from the oddsmakers either as they are an CFB worst 118-156-5 ATS over the period. The road has been even worse as the Aggies are 32-139 straight-up and a woeful 60-91-4 ATS, covering less than 40% of the time. Put them in an unwinnable position as greater than a +20 point dog and they are 1-57 SU and 19-38-1 ATS, covering just one of every three games. This should be an easy one for Arkansas State who has been strong at home, and their 6-5 Bowl resume would be enhanced at 7-5, and a big win for some style points if needed. It's hard to buck the numbers in this one, which are just plain ugly for the Aggies. Lay the points on Arkansas State.
Final Score
Get free CFB Picks
I pour over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning. You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.
Get a top-rated pick every day.