Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Georgia State Panthers Point Spread Picks

Georgia State is on a six-game losing streak with a 1-4-1 ATS record in that span and the Panthers come off a 38-7 blowout loss to James Madison on Saturday. They managed just 46 rushing yards on 27 carries while the Dukes totaled 452 yards of offense. Zach Gibson threw for 213 yards with a TD, but that was all the scoring for Georgia State, which is 0-4 ATS its past four games as a favorite. Arkansas State is 5-1 ATS its past six games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 points and 8-2 ATS against teams with losing records. The Red Wolves had won two straight before being throttled 55-19 by UL Lafayette last week, but they still are 5-4 on the season while the Panthers are 2-7. Arkansas State is 4-1 ATS the past five meetings and Georgia State has lost nine November games in a row. The Panthers are 1-5 ATS their past six home games. Take Arkansas State.

Arkansas State takes a 3-2 record to Georgia State this week. The Panthers are 2-2 on the season, but I think the distance between these tems on the field is much different than the records indicate. The Red Wolves have lost games vs. Georgia and SMU, and that has skewed the stats. The loss of QB Logan Bonner for the season hurts, but Lane Hatcher looks like an able-bodied replacement as he 28-40 on the season at 12.3 yards per attempt and four TDs. He should thrive against a poor Panthers' secondary. Since their opening game shocker vs. Tennessee in a 38-30 win, they have been drubbed the last two weeks vs. Western Michigan and Texas State allowing 94 points total in the two games. Arkansas State is better on both sides of the ball, and should win easily. Take Arkansas State.

Arkansas State is laying a lot of points for a team that's coming off two losses, including a 35-9 blowout by Appalachian State. The Red Wolves are #125 in the country in rush defense allowing 245.2 yards per game. They were shut out in the second half against Appalachian State and the Red Wolves were 3-for-17 in third down efficiency in that game. Admittedly, Georgia State also has struggled with a current 2-4 record, but it has played a decent schedule, including road games at N.C. State, Memphis and Troy. Quarterback Dan Ellington was 20-of-36 for 272 yards and a touchdown with no interceptions and rushed for 59 yards against Troy on Oct. 4. The Panthers have had two weeks to prepare for this matchup and they are 10-1-1 ATS their last 12 October games and the road team has covered the last four meetings. Arkansas State is 0-6 ATS its last six home contests and 1-7 ATS its last eight games overall. The Red Wolves have gone UNDER four games in a row and Georgia State has stayed UNDER three of its last five. The Panthers are 6-1 UNDER their last seven games following a loss and 26-10 UNDER their last 36 games overall. Arkansas State is 8-2 UNDER their last 10 after a loss. Play Georgia State and the UNDER.