Ball State had a great season on paper as they finished the regular season at 10-2. The impression of that success is diluted when you take a closer look. The Cardinals did win 10 games, but one was vs. a non-FBS team, and their other nine wins came against teams that finished the season with a combined 32-76 record for a combined winning percentage of .296! Arkansas State may have just seven wins, but they went out and played someone with losses to Memphis, Auburn and Missouri. Replace those three teams with three teams that are .296 and we are looking at a pair of 10-2 teams. As a result, the line looks overdone and is solely based on the records, which as you can see are quite misleading. This is also the third straight Bowl game for Arkansas State and they beat a strong Kent State last year in their Bowl game. Take the points with Arkansas State.
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Red Wolves vs. Cardinals Spread Picks
Get this week's Red Wolves vs. Cardinals point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Red Wolves vs. Cardinals.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 70% of the public bets were on Ball State Cardinals on the -6.5 ATS. 63% of the public money was on Arkansas State Red Wolves to win on the moneyline. And, 78% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Ball State would win by a score of 36.7 to 26.7 with Ball State winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
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Arkansas State vs. Ball State
9:00 PM Eastern
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