Arkansas Razorbacks vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights Point Spread Picks

Last week was very telling for Arkansas. They should have destroyed a weak Southern Mississippi team that is winless in 15 straight games. But when Brandon Allen went down with an injury, the Razorbacks threw the ball just six times. Overall they ran the ball 56 times against a defense that is highly suspect and did not do it very well, gaining just 4.6 yards per carry. Allen is out this week, so the Razorbacks' offense that is not that great to begin with is going to be worse. The good news is that their defense has allowed just 38 points in three games and comes in ranked #6 best in the country in the early going. Rutgers had a fluke in their opener that saw them lose 52-51 at Fresno State, but they managed just a total of 66 points vs. Norfolk State and Eastern Michigan combined - a pair of extremely weak defensive teams. Rutgers is always good against the run, and even though Fresno hung a 52 on them, they ran for just 3.5 yards per carry on 23 attempts. The Scarlet Knights are now 21-7 to the UNDER in their last 28 including 7-0 to the UNDER following an ATS loss. The defenses are far superior to the opposing offenses here, so take the UNDER.

The Arkansas Razorbacks came into this season with lofty expectations and a top ten ranking. They have had countless injury issues on offense, none more important than a concussion experienced by QB Tyler Wilson, who remains doubtful for this game. It has impacted the defense as well, which is spending a lot of time on the field. It all caught up with them two weeks ago, as they were shocked at home by UL Monroe as a 30-point favorite. It speaks a lot for the state of this team who was subsequently drowned by Alabama 52-0. Rutgers comes in with a big defense, a 3-0 record, and a lot of confidence after winning at South Florida, holding the Bulls to 13 points. Arkansas has had trouble getting out of the gate for quite some time now, as they are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 September games. The Scarlet Knights are now 6-2 ATS off a win in their last eight. We have an upset brewing here so consider taking Rutgers on the moneyline. At the very least, play on Rutgers plus the points.