The Holiday Bowl figures to come down to passing attacks. SMU has the No. 11 passing offense at 283.5 yards per game, propelled by Kevin Jennings’ 3,363 yards and 26 touchdowns. Arizona's Noah Fifita threw for 2,963 passing yards, while accounting for 29 touchdowns and only five interceptions. Jennings can go hot and cold. He's also facing the nation's fourth-ranked pass defense. Arizona has held its last eight opponents below 200 passing yards. The Wildcats have only surrendered nine passing touchdowns all season. SMU's secondary is not of that caliber. The Mustangs have also experienced kicking woes that have cost them three games. Arizona is on a five-game winning streak. The Wildcats are plus-11 in turnover margin over their past four games. SMU is 1-3 when giving up 24 or more points. The Mustangs also haven't won a bowl game since the 2012 Hawaii Bowl. Take Arizona.
Previous Matchups & Picks
January 2, 2026 8:00pm ET
vs.
Arizona Wildcats
#271
SMU Mustangs
#272
Lines & Odds
+2.5 (-105)
ATS
-2.5 (-115)
+118
Moneyline
-139
OVER 55 (-115)
Total
UNDER 55 (-105)
Wildcats vs. Mustangs Spread Picks
Get this week's Wildcats vs. Mustangs point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Wildcats vs. Mustangs.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 56% of the public bets were on Arizona Wildcats on the +2.5 ATS. And, 64% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Arizona would win by a score of 28.2 to 27.9, Arizona winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
This Pro Pick was released to clients on January 01, 2026 at 9:14AM ET.
Arizona vs. SMU
January 2, 2026
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Arizona Wildcats
0
0
6
13
19
SMU Mustangs
14
10
0
0
24
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