Air Force scored 90 points in their final two games and Toledo averaged 42.3 points per game on the season. Since the start of November, they've put up nearly 54 per game. As a result, we see a sky high total here. And, while it would be easy to bet the OVER here, history tells us the UNDER is the play. In the last ten Bowl games with totals posted over 70, the UNDER has hit 80% of the time. Also, games with high totals featuring two teams from outside the big conferences have gone under at a 60% clip the past seven years. Toledo is 20-7 to the UNDER on the road following an OVER and 13-4 UNDER on the road after a game in which 70+ points were scored. Both of these defenses are going to be focusing hard on how to stop the other and they have had a lot of time to prepare. Take the UNDER here.
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 58% of the public bets were on Toledo Rockets on the -3 ATS. 54% of the public money was on Air Force Falcons to win on the moneyline. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Toledo would win by a score of 34.9 to 34.0 with Toledo winning on the moneyline, Air Force winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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Toledo vs. Air Force
4:30 PM Eastern
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