Air Force Falcons vs Louisville Cardinals Point Spread Picks

FIRST RESPONDER BOWL - Air Force is 9-3 this season and 23-8 the last three years, and the Falcons won its last bowl game in 2019 by a score of 31-21 over Washington State. The Falcons won their last three games of the regular season, including a 48-14 blowout versus UNLV in the finale when the Falcons did not attempt a pass. They average 341.5 rushing yards per game and are difficult to defend by teams not used to the option offense. The Air Force defense is fifth in the country in total yards allowed and seventh in rush defense. Louisville went 6-6 to barely become bowl eligible, and the Cardinals got destroyed, 52-21, by Kentucky on Nov. 27. Still, Louisville allows an average of 27.0 points per game compared to just 19.1 for the Falcons. Louisville has seven players in the transfer portal, including wide receiver Jordan Watkins, who had 35 receptions for 529 yards with four touchdowns this season. QB Malik Cunningham threw for 2,734 yards and 18 TDs and will return to Louisville next season. He will play in this game. Air Force is 17-7 UNDER in its last 24 games and 38-18 UNDER in non-conference games (35-17 UNDER after a win by at least 20 points). Louisville has stayed UNDER five of its last six bowl games, and the Cardinals are 7-3-1 UNDER its past 11 neutral-site games. Take Air Force on the moneyline for a Max Play and the UNDER.