I think the Mustangs might feel slighted here on the road vs. a historically terrible team and not the favorite. Southeast Missouri State owns 19 wins over Div-1 opponents, dating back to January of 2008. Although they are better, they are stepping up here vs. a Conference USA team. SMU is 5-4, but a loss to Jackson State by 1 point in their last game has this line held in check. There is a marked difference here in an anticipated close game against SEMST, and that is their horrific free-throw shooting at 60.6% for the season - that is a difference maker. The Redhawks are also sporting a not-so desirable 12-26-1 ATS mark in their last 39 home games while SMU is raking in the road cash at 9-2 ATS in their last 11. Play on SMU in this one.
Previous Matchups & Picks
December 19, 2011 8:00pm ET
@
SMU Mustangs
#781
SE Missouri St. Redhawks
#782
Lines & Odds
-2 (-110)
ATS
+2 (-110)
-130
Moneyline
+110
OVER 126.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 126.5 (-110)
Mustangs vs. Redhawks Spread Picks
Get Mustangs vs. Redhawks point spread picks, expert spread analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Mustangs vs. Redhawks game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 61% of the public bets were on SMU Mustangs on the -2 ATS. 57% of the public money was on SMU Mustangs to win on the moneyline. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that SMU would win by a score of 44.2 to 43.5, SE Missouri State winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
SMU at SE Missouri State
December 19, 2011
Final Score
1H
2H
F
SMU Mustangs
84
SE Missouri St. Redhawks
65
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Wins
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386
346
+5.09
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9
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