This pick was released to clients on March 12, 2026 at 10:45AM ET.
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Xavier vs. Connecticut

March 12, 2026
img7:00 PM Eastern

These two heavyweights are set to clash in a Big East quarterfinal matchup tonight at Madison Square Garden. Xavier is on a 5-4 ATS run after upsetting Marquette 89-87 yesterday as a +4 dog. That run includes an 87-82 loss at St. John's as a +16 underdog. The offense is fourth in the conference in points scored (78.7 ppg) and from the line (72.9%), plus No. 1 from 3-point land (36.7%). They're also 11th in the nation in assist-to-turnover ratio at 1.78. Connecticut is eighth in the 11-team conference from the charity stripe (71.1%), on a 9-20 ATS run. The Huskies are also 1-10 ATS as a favorite of 9.5 points or more. Play Xavier. 

2 units on Xavier +16.5 (-106) (risk 2 to return 3.89)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1H
2H
F
Xavier Musketeers
50
38
68
Connecticut Huskies img
50
43
93
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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