Western Michigan at Toledo

Western Michigan is 4-10 with losses to Dayton, Wisconsin, and Iowa St. The record may not be as bad as things look. This team also opened 0-6 ATS, but there has been a considerable improvement for the Broncos who have now covered 3 straight games. All 3 came as a double-digit dog, so I think the line is overdone here. Toledo is 9-5 on the season and has relied on offense to get things done. This team has been very poor defensively as the Rockets have allowed opponents to shoot better than 46% on the season, and from deep their opponents are connecting on 39%. This will keep an improved Western Michigan team in the game. Make the play on Western Michigan.