Western Michigan at Toledo

Toledo is a big favorite but has split its last four games, losing by 14 to Ball State and 88-81 to Bowling Green as 8-point chalk each time. And this is the biggest they've been as a favorite all season. Toledo is 16-30 ATS after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games. Western Michigan won't get into an uptempo game, 3-1 ATS their last four times as an underdog of +9.5 or greater. That included a 65-56 loss at Miami of Ohio, a 76-70 win over Bowling Green as a +12 dog, and a 76-69 loss to Kent State as a double-digit dog. These teams played a 70-59 game last month, Western Michigan has won two of the last three meetings, and the road team has covered four straight between these conference rivals. Play Western Michigan.