This pick was released to clients on October 15, 2012 at 4:10PM ET.
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Weber State at UCLA

March 15, 2007
img7:25 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
4 units on Weber State +20 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
LOSS

It is hard to explain what happened to UCLA down the stretch. They lost no games to teams that aren’t in the tournament, and suddenly they lose convincingly to Washington, and then enter the Pac-10 Tournament, and lose to California, falling down by 12 points at the half. A big concern has to be the shooting slump of Arron Afflalo. He was just 1-7 vs. Cal. and 0-5 from three-point range, and had just three points in 38 minutes. The prior game against Washington he was just 4-14 and 3-10 from three-point range and combined in both games to be 2-6 from the free-throw line. The Bruins won't go far without him, and his confidence seems way down. Weber State has been a tourney spoiler in the past. They knocked off a very good Carolina team in 1999, and this team has some weapons. Dezmon Harris hits 40.6%, Tyler Billings off the bench hits 53%, and Juan Silverio 46.2% and all are excellent from beyond the arc. If the three pointers are going down, and Afflalo is struggling, this game could get interesting. Weber St. also has the Big Sky MVP in David Patten, who can take over a game. Lots of weapons, and we will take the 20+ points here with a team that can shoot their way into late excitement in this one.

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