Western Kentucky at South Alabama

The upstart Jags come in at 11-4 overall and are on a three-game toot, culminating with an overtime win over Florida International. Their record is a product of a soft schedule, and they have severely played under the line as they are just 5-8 ATS. They are getting a lot of push in the line because they beat Florida Int., but one game does not a season make and the Hilltoppers are always found at or near the top of the Sun Belt standings when all is said and done. The Hilltoppers are winless on the road, but the three travel dates occurred in Louisville, LSU and South Carolina, so they will be up for this one. They are getting plenty of line value as they have taken the money in five of their last seven and own six straight ATS wins in the conference, while Jags sport a money-burning 6-20 ATS mark in their last 26 at home. Western Kentucky gets the nod here.